The 2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar was re-elected with 60.3% of the vote in 2018 and is running for re-election to a fourth term. Primary elections will take place on August 13, 2024.[1]
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Background
editMinnesota is considered to be a slightly to moderately blue state at the federal level. In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Minnesota by about seven percentage points. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide executive offices, and both state legislative chambers.[2][3]
Klobuchar was first elected in 2006, defeating former U.S. Representative Mark Kennedy. She won re-election in 2012 and 2018 by large margins.[4]
This race is considered to be clearly favoring Klobuchar, as she has won all three of her Senate elections by more than 20 points and typically over-performs other down-ballot candidates.[5]
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Amy Klobuchar, incumbent U.S. senator[6]
- Steve Carlson, business consultant and perennial candidate[7]
- Ahmad Hassan, businessman and perennial candidate[7]
- George Kalberer, financial management executive and candidate for Minnesota's 1st congressional district in 2022[7]
- Ole Savior, artist and perennial candidate[7]
Endorsements
editAmy Klobuchar
- U.S representatives
- Gabby Giffords, former U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[8]
- Organizations
- AIPAC[9]
- EMILY's List[10]
- End Citizens United[11]
- Feminist Majority PAC[12]
- Giffords[8]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[13]
- J Street PAC[14]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[15]
- League of Conservation Voters[16]
- Let America Vote[11]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[17]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[18]
- Population Connection Action Fund[19]
- Political parties
Fundraising
edit| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Amy Klobuchar (DFL) | $16,256,579 | $14,422,384 | $5,769,671 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[21] | |||
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- John Berman, engineer and perennial candidate[22]
- Loner Blue, retiree and convicted felon[7]
- Joe Fraser, banker[23]
- Alycia Gruenhagen, food co-op manager and Democratic candidate for Minnesota's 7th congressional district in 2020 and 2022[7]
- Patrick Munro, landscaping company owner and perennial candidate[22]
- Raymond Petersen, truck driver[7]
- Christopher Seymour, teacher and perennial candidate[7]
- Royce White, former NBA player and candidate for Minnesota's 5th congressional district in 2022[24]
Declined
edit- Michelle Benson, former state senator (2011–2023) and candidate for governor in 2022[25]
- Paul Gazelka, former Majority Leader of the Minnesota Senate (2017–2021) from the 9th district (2011–2023) and candidate for governor in 2022[25]
- Walter Hudson, state representative (2023–present)[25]
- Scott Jensen, former state senator (2017–2021) and nominee for governor in 2022[25]
- Erik Paulsen, former U.S. representative from Minnesota's 3rd congressional district (2009–2019)[25]
- Kendall Qualls, healthcare technology executive, nominee for Minnesota's 3rd congressional district in 2020, and candidate for governor in 2022[25]
- Jim Schultz, lawyer and nominee for attorney general in 2022[25]
- Ryan Wilson, medical device research company CEO and nominee for state auditor in 2022[25]
Endorsements
editRoyce White
- Individuals
- Political parties
Fundraising
edit| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Joe Fraser (R) | $45,057 | $1,156 | $43,901 |
| Royce White (R) | $10,754 | $487 | $10,267 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[21] | |||
Third-party and independent candidates
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Joyce Lacey (Independence—Alliance), guardianship advocate and Republican candidate for governor in 2022[28]
- Rebecca Whiting (Libertarian), farmer[29]
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[31] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[33] | Likely D | June 8, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[34] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[35] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
Polling
edit- Amy Klobuchar vs. Joe Fraser
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Amy Klobuchar (D) |
Joe Fraser (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[A] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 37% | 5% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA[B] | June 12–16, 2024 | 626 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 36% | 4% | 11% |
| SurveyUSA[C] | May 8–11, 2024 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 34% | 5% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA[C] | April 3–7, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 34% | 6% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA[C] | February 23–28, 2024 | 1,603 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 33% | 5% | 14% |
- Amy Klobuchar vs. Royce White
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Amy Klobuchar (D) |
Royce White (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[A] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 37% | 4% | 11% |
| SurveyUSA[B] | June 12–16, 2024 | 626 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 35% | 4% | 12% |
Notes
edit- Partisan clients
References
edit- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ^ "Live election results: 2020 Minnesota results". www.politico.com. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
- ^ Faircloth, Ryan; Tribune, Briana Bierschbach Star. "Democrats take control of the Minnesota Legislature". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
- ^ "Minnesota Secretary Of State - 2006 General Election Results". www.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
- ^ Golshan, Tara (February 10, 2019). "Sen. Amy Klobuchar has won every one of her elections by huge margins. Now she's running for president". Vox. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
- ^ Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022.
Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said she's made it 'very clear' she's running again
- ^ a b c d e f g h "Candidate Filings, 2024 State General Election, United States Senator". Office of the Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
- ^ a b "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Senator Amy Klobuchar for Reelection". Giffords. January 24, 2024. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
- ^ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Archived from the original on August 27, 2023. Retrieved August 27, 2023.
- ^ Chou, Lauren (May 10, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Amy Klobuchar for Reelection to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved October 1, 2023.
- ^ a b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Klobuchar for Reelection". March 30, 2023.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
- ^ "Amy Klobuchar". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ Leier, Joe. "Minnesota Democrats endorse Klobuchar for US Senate race". The Mighty 790 KFGO | KFGO. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Minnesota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- ^ a b Frisk, Garrett (July 5, 2023). "Minnesota Democrat Amy Klobuchar Challenged by Two Republicans". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
- ^ Brown, Kyle (January 29, 2024). "West metro Republican launches campaign challenging Klobuchar for Senate seat". KSTP.com 5 Eyewitness News. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
- ^ Whalen, Eamon (August 23, 2023). "Royce White Announces Run for Senate With New Conspiracy Theory". Mother Jones. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h Van Oot, Tery (August 21, 2023). "Here's who's not running for U.S. Senate in Minnesota next year". Axios.
- ^ Hank Long (June 18, 2024). "Campaigns trade barbs, tout high-profile endorsements as GOP Senate primary heats up". Alpha News. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
Royce White announced Tuesday that his campaign has the support of Kari Lake.
- ^ Vondracek, Christopher (May 18, 2024). "In a surprise, Minnesota Republicans back Royce White to run against Amy Klobuchar". Star Tribune. Retrieved May 18, 2024.
- ^ Tillman, Scott (July 31, 2023). "Joyce Lacey Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". US Term Limits. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Petitioning for LPMN-Endorsed Candidates". Libertarian Party of Minnesota. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
External links
edit- Official campaign websites